Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 14.144321 16.131358 18.257244 20.696266 23.412412 26.339377 29.727222
2024-10-27 10.773871 13.350894 16.303947 19.920743 24.212319 29.122442 35.144690
2024-11-03 9.161029 12.232412 15.973586 20.824532 26.901941 34.214606 43.624126
2024-11-10 8.312846 11.876691 16.461992 22.714024 30.924743 41.238790 55.057543
2024-11-17 7.316555 11.156959 16.362879 23.804320 34.012724 47.350072 65.882828
2024-11-24 6.176185 10.048107 15.573499 23.841751 35.667603 51.702332 74.755041
2024-12-01 5.091099 8.835385 14.456753 23.252164 36.346288 54.737113 82.036496
2024-12-08 4.338785 8.002253 13.768964 23.169803 37.684363 58.725890 90.862297
2024-12-15 3.811119 7.440626 13.410055 23.513696 39.635727 63.679516 101.341544
2024-12-22 3.274118 6.771415 12.782259 23.341947 40.744958 67.423959 110.245030
2024-12-29 3.044683 6.613065 12.977900 24.511984 44.034630 74.645452 124.760519
2025-01-05 2.705894 6.192294 12.659688 24.766597 45.833471 79.640899 136.122217
2025-01-12 2.263458 5.504552 11.795253 24.015995 45.955760 82.090988 143.837675
2025-01-19 1.871213 4.845772 10.892709 23.088213 45.677466 83.853340 150.550548
2025-01-26 1.738058 4.726099 11.020767 24.083149 48.855072 91.534905 167.342127
2025-02-02 1.722811 4.873392 11.703166 26.201634 54.214317 103.215165 191.381357
2025-02-09 1.622651 4.801410 11.919076 27.419015 57.995679 112.388719 211.663166
2025-02-16 1.436978 4.482975 11.565689 27.450614 59.542309 117.734785 225.675320
2025-02-23 1.225943 4.054406 10.908180 26.777355 59.667152 120.536796 235.394915
2025-03-02 1.081127 3.772581 10.543991 26.679581 60.894799 125.376436 248.907531
2025-03-09 0.982565 3.599963 10.411621 27.064885 63.100321 132.106037 266.071896
2025-03-16 0.864670 3.343542 10.038397 26.868754 64.091847 136.603908 279.387996
2025-03-23 0.832339 3.345825 10.316171 28.188322 68.327715 147.464397 304.841879